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Crown Green Handicap

Tony Johnson

Team: Lever ClubDivision: League 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

993

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

25

Matches Played

11

Wins

14

Losses

44%

Win Rate

9.0

Avg Win Margin

7.6

Avg Loss Margin

7-6

Home Record

4-8

Away Record

41%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
25 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2019

Only 25 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 155/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 25 matches

+6 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 May12 Jun7 Jul31 Jul11 Aug4 May3 May21 Aug-1258

Gives 6 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(40%)
44%
score-0.12→contribution-0.05
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.6
score+0.06→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
872
score-0.27→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.034
Sample Size Confidence
41%(25/39 matches)
Rating983 → shrunk 993
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

11W14L25 matches·44% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lever Club2017–2019League 125111444%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2019John Gomersall JnrH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 1
8/12/2019Nigel HughesA1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 1
8/2/2019Richard JamiesonH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
5/24/2019Samantha StanleyA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 1
5/3/2019Noreen BuntingH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
8/6/2018#c George RobertsH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
5/25/2018Jean ClarkA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
5/4/2018David McdonaldH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 1
8/21/2017Rod WhiteH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 1
8/18/2017Tucker JacksonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 1
8/11/2017Jim MurphyH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 1
8/7/2017Paul HarrisA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 1
8/4/2017Sue LawsonA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
7/31/2017Eddie CoppleH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
7/17/2017Steve GarnerA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 1
7/14/2017Steve GarnerH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 1
7/7/2017Mike SmethurstH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 1
6/23/2017Yvonne DowneyA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 1
6/19/2017Ray DearingH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 1
6/12/2017Frank HeggartyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
6/9/2017Rob SmedleyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
5/26/2017Allan ClarkeA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 1
5/19/2017John EatonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
5/5/2017Peter SmithH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 1
4/24/2017Val MakinsonA21-2WIN+19LeagueLeague 1
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl5 games · 3W
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundAaron RichardsKendal21-4WINWON
Round of 32 Round# Dave GarlickManor Road21-13WINWON
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round### Mike PillingNew Brighton Quarry Vikings C13-21LOSSWON
Round of 32 RoundJohn SinkinsonLever Club21-13WINLOST
Round of 16 RoundNicholas ThorntonHeswall RBL B20-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20151 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTrevor BarracloughNew Brighton Quarry Vikings C17-21LOSSLOST
Graham White Cup3 games · 0W
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMervyn PryceOxton Cons B20-21LOSSLOST
Semi Final RoundBrian SomervilleTixall B5-21LOSSLOST
Final RoundRay LynchGladstone B13-21LOSSLOST
Frank Hurst Trophy1 games · 1W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundKen HoltThingwall21-11WINWON
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 0W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundSamantha StanleyNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B7-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLWLW
Last 1020% win rate↑ improving
LLWLWLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Steve Garner202100%7/17/2017
John Gomersall Jnr0110%8/21/2019
Nigel Hughes0110%8/12/2019
Richard Jamieson101100%8/2/2019
Samantha Stanley0110%5/24/2019
Noreen Bunting101100%5/3/2019
#c George Roberts0110%8/6/2018
Jean Clark0110%5/25/2018
David Mcdonald0110%5/4/2018
Rod White0110%8/21/2017
Biggest Win
Val Makinson (+19)4/24/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Nigel Hughes (-20)8/12/2019
Best Season
201753% · 17 matches
Worst Season
201753% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
58% → 31%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
82218 known · 7 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-420% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-654% win rate
League 144%
11W·14L·25 played

Debut

Apr 24, 2017

Latest

Aug 21, 2019

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.3 (25 total)

Seasons

201720182019